Sagebrush seeding outcomes altered by species responses to warmer springs and interannual weather variation
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Spring warming treatment effects varied with yearly weather and species emergence timing relative to the rest of the seeded species. Later-emergence timing was associated with lower emergence rates, particularly with late spring warming, and lower survival with early spring warming, but higher survival without warming or with late spring warming. Seed mix scenarios tuned to warming treatment and yearly weather outperformed early- or late-emergence timing and even proportion mixes. Early spring warming increased invasive annual grass abundance, which was associated with lower survival of seeded species.